Itchy-Poll
0xe3872ad96c8a0e473a9663b88b79185c5229d1db
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-42.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will another candidate be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?
99 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- BREWERS
Brewers vs. Cardinals
37 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-19.90
- DIAMONDBACKS
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-19.90
- YES
Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?
25 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-0.07
- NO
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
12 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5$36.83Sep 20, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5$19.89Sep 19, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhillies vs. Diamondbacks$19.90Sep 19, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrewers vs. Cardinals$19.90Sep 19, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Nebraska Presidential Election?$0.05Nov 5, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell shares of DJT before the election?$0.04Nov 3, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US in 2024?$0.05Nov 2, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken IPO in 2024?$0.03Nov 2, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenSea blocks US users in 2024?$0.04Nov 2, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?$0.03Nov 2, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 400 or more times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$0.06Oct 31, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$9.00Oct 31, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvidence released that Kamala worked at McDonald's?$0.04Oct 30, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 350-374 times October 25 - November 1? $0.10Oct 30, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Hardy announced as next James Bond?$0.09Oct 29, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi win the Ballon d’Or?$0.00Oct 29, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?$0.00Oct 29, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harry Kane win the Ballon d’Or?$0.00Oct 29, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill another player win the Ballon d'Or?$0.00Oct 29, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nico Williams win the Ballon d’Or?$0.00Oct 29, 17:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $27.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 09:11 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 20, 08:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".