Concerned-Adoption
0xe394e473747f84077d1d2b71505b152792c17d78
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$5.17
Total PnL
$-12.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on May 30?
5 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$5.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 31?
10008 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 4?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 4?
2 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on May 30?$5.01May 29, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 18?$100.50May 22, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 18?$100.02May 17, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 15?$100.10May 17, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 15?$100.00May 14, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 10?$2.02May 14, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 10?$2.00May 9, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 6?$2.02May 9, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 6?$2.00May 5, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on April 24?$1.27May 5, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 1?$1.33May 5, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 1?$1.01Apr 30, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on April 24?$1.00Apr 23, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8?$1.00Apr 7, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 4?$1.00Apr 3, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 4?$1.00Apr 3, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 31?$10.01Mar 31, 10:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $20.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 10:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 03:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.