Subdued-Pasta
0xe39783f92ee0985f1ab5fe514030f946825abfcb
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$34.1K
Total PnL
$9.12
Realised
$349.76
Win rate
75%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
14000 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.9K
$251.02
- YES
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
13000 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.0K
$6.51
- YES
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?
2005 shares @ 96.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.8K
$-104.23
- DOWN
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
1000 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$1.0K
$1.15
- NO
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1872 shares @ 36.9¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$617.70
$-72.29
- NO
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
828 shares @ 50.7¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$426.24
$6.37
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
500 shares @ 82.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$402.49
$-7.50
- NO
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?
367 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$364.09
$1.16
- NO
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
300 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$297.30
$1.20
- NO
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?
299 shares @ 89.8¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$245.56
$-23.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?$9.87Jun 13, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani stream on Twitch again by June 12?$61.05Jun 13, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?$7.32Jun 13, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$998.90Jun 13, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?$8.65Jun 13, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?$37.35Jun 13, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?$4.50Jun 13, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?$5.00Jun 13, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?$46.45Jun 13, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$25.29Jun 13, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$125.96Jun 13, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?$3.13Jun 13, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?$189.08Jun 13, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?$140.46Jun 13, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?$980.65Jun 13, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?$11.72Jun 13, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$132.68Jun 13, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO: Trading Halted for Volatility?$170.00Jun 13, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?$300.00Jun 13, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ali Larijani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.43Jun 13, 07:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$7.0K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 10, 06:10 UTC → Jun 10, 06:03 UTC
- BUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 9?$7.0K@100¢Jun 10, 06:03 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$7.0K
1 trades
30d volume
$7.0K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
$7.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $163.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.