Square-Snarl
0xe398873a68f38dd17d64587e844b6365d2bbee2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$363.99
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-16.94
Win rate
0%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- OVER
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5
130 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$129.94
$14.23
- YES
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-20?
130 shares @ 85.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$129.81
$19.30
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
150 shares @ 67.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$104.25
$3.75
- CÔTE D'IVOIRE
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance
286 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
172 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- OVER
RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
172 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- OVER
Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 0.5
170 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-98.60
- OVER
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5
162 shares @ 61.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- OVER
CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5
155 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.73
- OVER
Leeds United vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5
154 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5$116.34Aug 20, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-20?$111.33Aug 20, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5$97.65Aug 19, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5$3.08Aug 19, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5$101.60Aug 18, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEM1. FC Heidenheim vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 4.5$135.00Aug 18, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUY1. FC Heidenheim vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 4.5$105.30Aug 18, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMCF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5$135.00Aug 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5$102.52Aug 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$102.82Aug 17, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 0.5$130.00Aug 17, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 0.5$104.00Aug 17, 03:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.24Aug 17, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMAFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5$154.99Aug 16, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMCD Nacional vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 0.5$128.94Aug 16, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMFC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5$130.00Aug 16, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5$87.38Aug 16, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5$5.83Aug 16, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYAFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5$2.60Aug 16, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYAFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5$4.93Aug 16, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $83.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 19:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 16:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.