Black-And-White-Pea
0xe39933077ddf81d6c39d607893a683af8ed9b921
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-968.46
Realised
$13.62
Win rate
92%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 22?
155 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 24?
140 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-54.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 23?
140 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-29.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 24?
115 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-21.81
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 25?
114 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-36.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 23?
80 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-14.68
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 18?
40 shares @ 79.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-31.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 23?
30 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 22?
30 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 23?
30 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 25?$4.60May 26, 04:56 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.03May 26, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?$10.76May 25, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?$10.31May 25, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?$8.50May 25, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?$2.10May 25, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?$1.16May 25, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?$2.25May 25, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?$2.99May 25, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?$13.50May 25, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?$5.63May 25, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?$17.91May 25, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?$6.80May 25, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?$1.55May 25, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?$1.55May 25, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?$9.30May 25, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?$6.80May 25, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?$1.70May 25, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?$1.73May 25, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?$8.87May 25, 09:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 08:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 04:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.