Prudent-Whelp
0xe39eb7999c1f052bda2f94a288b7e39e5cb5325b
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$16.61
Total PnL
$-1.26
Realised
$-0.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will XRP reach $3.80 in October?
4 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$4.18
$0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$3.21
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$2.87
$0.02
- NO
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.54
$0.02
- NO
US forces in Venezuela by October 31?
2 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.10
$0.10
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.72
$0.02
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Oct 28, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5400 in October?$2.85Oct 27, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 26?$2.40Oct 27, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $102,000 October 20-26?$2.81Oct 27, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$445.15Oct 27, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$445.60Oct 27, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $1.00Oct 27, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$49.94Oct 27, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$395.60Oct 27, 10:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Oct 27, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 26?$2.40Oct 26, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$446.00Oct 26, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.80 in October?$4.15Oct 25, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$447.03Oct 25, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $102,000 October 20-26?$2.80Oct 25, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$450.00Oct 25, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150k in October?$3.20Oct 25, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.70Oct 24, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by October 31?$2.00Oct 24, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$2.53Oct 18, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $85.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 17:28 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 28, 00:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.