Informal-Fiber
0xe3a18747025ea78d967be9c2d14ec479743764a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$51.4K
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$-937.57
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
40000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$34.0K
$14.0K
- NO
Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
8593 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.3K
$700.33
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
40000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.0K
$-14.0K
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?
1338 shares @ 85.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$46.84
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1156 shares @ 81.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.1K
$204.66
- NO
Will June 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
700 shares @ 94.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$684.95
$20.65
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in June 2026?
24 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.32
$1.37
- YES
Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
11011 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-966.35
- YES
Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
10855 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-51.68
- YES
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?
5750 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-718.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?$797.46Jun 14, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?$77.35Jun 14, 02:53 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$1.6KJun 10, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?$30.56Jun 10, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?$1.4KJun 10, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?$32.00Jun 10, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$450.79Jun 10, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$64.60Jun 10, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?$106.25Jun 10, 08:01 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$20.74Jun 10, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in June 2026?$21.94Jun 9, 08:34 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.81Jun 9, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.59Jun 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?$156.40Jun 8, 23:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $512.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 20:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.