Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-4.3K

Realised

$2.07

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 15

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
3771 shares @ 49.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025
$0.00
$-1.9K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
1249 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025
$0.00
$-650.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
907 shares @ 66.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025
$0.00
$-600.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
204 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
199 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
197 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
197 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
196 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$80.00Dec 19, 15:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$400.00Dec 19, 15:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$250.00Dec 19, 15:18 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$294.12Dec 19, 15:13 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$196.08Dec 19, 03:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$611.75Dec 19, 03:35 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.51Dec 19, 03:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$250.00Dec 19, 03:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1000.00Dec 19, 03:27 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$100.00Dec 19, 03:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$145.00Dec 19, 03:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$250.00Dec 19, 03:19 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$744.95Dec 19, 03:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$150.00Dec 19, 03:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$100.00Dec 19, 03:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$100.00Dec 19, 02:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$364.00Dec 19, 02:57 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$363.43Dec 19, 02:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$251.00Dec 19, 02:47 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$251.25Dec 19, 02:43 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk59 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 43
Avg trade size: $205.43
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 17, 16:18 UTC
Last active: Dec 19, 15:32 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:21:19 UTC·src:Polymarket Data