Conscious-Pounding
0xe3a8fe8fd3c41ae4f55932cd3f97ae40e7a6506d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$105.20
Total PnL
$51.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
89 shares @ 33.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$88.53
$58.53
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
17 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$16.67
$7.67
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
54 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$9.00Sep 3, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?$15.00Sep 3, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?$7.00Jul 31, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?$23.00Jul 31, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$61.03Mar 14, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$20.00Mar 12, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?$9.78Mar 12, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?$19.60Mar 12, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?$15.00Mar 8, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$31.50Feb 15, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Feb 15, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?$76.50Feb 15, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?$49.98Oct 24, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.19Oct 24, 12:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $25.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 3, 15:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.