Fearless-Lyre
0xe3ad23d5715dd962df680558475d6a1580508451
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-206.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on January 26?
260 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-130.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on March 21?
85 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on March 21?
85 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on March 21?
85 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on March 21?
85 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on March 21?
85 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on March 21?
85 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on March 21?
85 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on March 21?
85 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on March 21?
85 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$89.10Jun 2, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$9.90Jun 2, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$99.62Jun 2, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?$88.02Apr 25, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?$85.32Apr 9, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 30?$85.32Mar 30, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 30?$85.15Mar 30, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$85.15Mar 29, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$84.98Mar 26, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on March 21?$84.98Mar 23, 02:46 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Beijing on March 21?$84.98Mar 21, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or higher on March 21?$84.90Mar 21, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?$67.23Mar 2, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?$10.00Mar 2, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?$1.29Mar 2, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?$1.17Mar 2, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?$1.40Mar 2, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?$1.29Mar 2, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?$1.44Mar 2, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?$0.98Mar 2, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $53.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 07:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 03:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.