Obedient-Hike
0xe3b26753e3d262ebb34cd799d2a736b691d57d94
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$25.8K
Total PnL
$59.00
Realised
$61.97
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14?
7603 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$7.6K
$35.22
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
11721 shares @ 67.5¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$7.4K
$-475.05
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
11721 shares @ 32.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.2K
$410.04
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
1187 shares @ 82.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$920.06
$-56.47
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 14?
678 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$677.42
$3.55
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14?
567 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$567.20
$2.15
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?
614 shares @ 82.3¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$518.76
$13.63
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 14?
421 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$420.58
$1.09
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on June 16?
403 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$402.60
$0.63
- YES
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
1187 shares @ 16.3¢·now 24.7¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$293.23
$99.24
Recent activity
- MERGEWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$21.09Jun 14, 16:35 UTC
- MERGEWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$21.09Jun 14, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$10.54Jun 14, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$10.12Jun 14, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$1.78Jun 14, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$3.19Jun 14, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$53.28Jun 14, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$91.35Jun 14, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$6.20Jun 14, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$3.79Jun 14, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 15?$59.79Jun 14, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15?$0.19Jun 14, 16:16 UTC
- MERGEWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$40.10Jun 14, 16:15 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$40.10Jun 14, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$11.40Jun 14, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$7.52Jun 14, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$8.95Jun 14, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$11.99Jun 14, 16:06 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14?$106.03Jun 14, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14?$2.14Jun 14, 16:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $25.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 14:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 16:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.