Puny-Prison
0xe3b2f9803548a286db3049e5e54d1d5111b90d0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$10.93
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-649.81
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?
8 shares @ 61.2¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.08
$1.08
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.38
$-0.62
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
10500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
5841 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
4802 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-352.46
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
3515 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-142.63
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
2164 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-652.61
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
1429 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-271.53
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $47.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 05:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.