Poised-Major
0xe3c01f81b2cb85b55cee5394e409271b677b0403
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
50370 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- NO
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
11411 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-21.86
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in September?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump announce Chamath Palihapitiya as next Fed Chair in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
892 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
801 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
345 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$120.00Oct 19, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.41Oct 16, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.47Oct 16, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.51Oct 16, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.02Oct 16, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.43Oct 16, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.28Oct 16, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.50Oct 16, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.44Oct 16, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.48Oct 16, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.47Oct 16, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.52Oct 16, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.51Oct 16, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.05Oct 16, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.47Oct 16, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.53Oct 16, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.45Oct 16, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.46Oct 16, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.53Oct 16, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.52Oct 16, 16:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 14:00 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 19, 19:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".