Organic-Temporariness
0xe3c6a4e226fe72804edb332c174e17a813e1d698
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
67
Open notional
$20.09
Total PnL
$-17.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- NO
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Brann win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Once Upon a Farm in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$1.00Jan 15, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Jan 4, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Hades II' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$1.01Dec 26, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.01Dec 26, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Dec 11, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYOnce Upon a Farm in 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$2.0KDec 9, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.0KDec 9, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ruby Wax win series 25 of "I'm a Celebrity... Get Me Out of Here!"?$1.00Dec 9, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$500.00Dec 8, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$500.00Dec 8, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$500.00Dec 8, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$500.00Dec 8, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$250.00Dec 8, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$250.00Dec 8, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$250.00Dec 8, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$5.44Dec 8, 08:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $218.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 10:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".