Radiant-Carabao
0xe3c7cf3ebd1262f8a818e9b33fed7aa0623b801b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-213.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
4877 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-138.99
- YES
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?
271 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
101 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 9 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?$0.00May 19, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$0.00May 19, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Estonia win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 19, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win La Liga?$55.56May 19, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?$20.00Mar 21, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 9 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?$10.00Mar 21, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$20.00Mar 21, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win Eurovision 2025?$10.00Mar 5, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?$20.00Mar 5, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $20.00Feb 28, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $20.00Feb 26, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $20.00Feb 24, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$367.46Feb 24, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $19.00Feb 24, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $10.00Feb 23, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $50.00Feb 23, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$20.00Feb 23, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$100.00Feb 23, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$54.78Feb 23, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$54.78Feb 23, 18:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $37.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 22:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 13:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".