Itchy-Shell
0xe3ca9d84fffb13ff7d9611d9d1f65c54c70baf52
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$27.41
Total PnL
$-54.70
Realised
$-0.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Meta (META) finish week of July 20 above $610?
28 shares @ 78.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$14.14
$-7.70
- NO
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $156 Week of July 20 2026?
15 shares @ 78.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$13.28
$1.57
- YES
Will Bitcoin close above $140K on July 31?
12 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 18, 2AM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 8AM ET
8 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
7 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.86
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $3.10 on September 13?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 6AM ET
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of July 20 above $610?$5.84Jul 22, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of July 20 above $610?$16.00Jul 22, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $156 Week of July 20 2026?$11.80Jul 22, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on July 22?$38.41Jul 22, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on July 22?$19.60Jul 22, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on July 22?$25.14Jul 22, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $690 Week of July 20 2026?$4.97Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $750 Week of July 20 2026?$9.67Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMMicron (MU) Up or Down on July 20?$60.00Jul 20, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicron (MU) Up or Down on July 20?$8.40Jul 20, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicron (MU) Up or Down on July 20?$14.50Jul 20, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicron (MU) Up or Down on July 20?$1.50Jul 20, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $750 Week of July 20 2026?$10.08Jul 20, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $690 Week of July 20 2026?$5.02Jul 20, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicron (MU) Up or Down on July 20?$3.85Jul 20, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicron (MU) Up or Down on July 20?$19.43Jul 20, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of July 13 2026?$25.00Jul 17, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of July 13 2026?$20.50Jul 17, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on July 16?$51.99Jul 16, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on July 16?$16.00Jul 16, 12:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $15.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 20:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 21:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.