Indelible-Flair
0xe3dae23980d18db2317b9e6924d3e42d2c963c39
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$5.62
Total PnL
$-3.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?
4 shares @ 50.5¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.98
$-0.02
- NO
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$1.85
$0.85
- NO
Coinbase top 10 app on Friday?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2024$1.79
$0.79
- NO
Will Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
ETHBTC above 0.035 on Nov 30?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Doug Pederson be the next coach fired?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?$1.00Dec 2, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHBTC above 0.035 on Nov 30?$1.00Nov 25, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Doug Pederson be the next coach fired?$1.00Nov 19, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?$1.00Nov 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$1.00Nov 14, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCoinbase top 10 app on Friday?$1.00Nov 13, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?$1.00Nov 12, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? $1.00Nov 11, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?$1.00Nov 8, 09:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 09:44 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 2, 05:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.