Elaborate-Flugelhorn
0xe3dc928dec419d99684bca276370d28254584baa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
1800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kanye West win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
13 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will Trump go on Redscare?
10 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?
4 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?$0.06Nov 5, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden pardon Diddy?$0.05Nov 3, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump go on Redscare? $0.03Nov 3, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala go on Lex Fridman podcast?$0.02Nov 3, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 250 times November 1-8?$0.05Nov 3, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?$0.05Nov 3, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill another team win LoL Worlds 2024?$0.00Nov 3, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?$0.00Nov 3, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?$0.05Nov 2, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another team win LoL Worlds 2024?$0.10Nov 1, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.05Oct 31, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$0.06Oct 30, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI $0.05Oct 30, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 250-274 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$0.00Oct 30, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 250-274 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$0.09Oct 29, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?$0.05Oct 29, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?$0.05Oct 29, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?$0.05Oct 29, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$0.05Oct 29, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?$0.05Oct 29, 11:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $22.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 11:30 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.