Simplistic-Margin
0xe3e605d8a571322f358e016523ff7b0766d64879
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.11
Total PnL
$-125.76
Realised
$-18.52
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 12?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$1.11
$0.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 10?
967 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-42.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 11?
422 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on March 10?
196 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.97
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 10?
168 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-14.92
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 10?
114 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-15.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 10?
31 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.06
- NORTHERN KENTUCKY NORSE
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Wright State Raiders
30 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 12?
24 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 10?
16 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 11?$0.11Mar 12, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 11?$0.08Mar 12, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 11?$3.18Mar 11, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 13?$2.02Mar 11, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 11?$7.00Mar 11, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 11?$60.16Mar 11, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on March 12?$11.97Mar 11, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 13?$19.77Mar 11, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 12?$26.02Mar 11, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 12?$8.44Mar 11, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 11?$5.67Mar 11, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 12?$0.52Mar 11, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 12?$4.20Mar 11, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 11?$8.43Mar 11, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 12?$0.10Mar 11, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 11?$1.01Mar 11, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 11?$6.72Mar 11, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 13?$0.33Mar 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 12?$0.28Mar 11, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 12?$0.12Mar 11, 16:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 06:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 10:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".