Well-Worn-Catastrophe
0xe3e992c855e7dc18eca1fbc259f311301c87c0b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$7.43
Total PnL
$-1.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-06-06?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$2.45
$0.15
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: Other
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.1¢·exp Aug 14, 2028$0.98
$-0.02
- TEAM LIQUID
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- XTREME GAMING
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMNexus FDV above $50M one day after launch?$0.00Jun 6, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.20 in May?$0.00Jun 6, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-06-06?$2.30Jun 6, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMNexus FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.00Jun 6, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.20 in May?$3.74Jun 6, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNexus FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.00May 21, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Patek Index hit $112,000 (HIGH) by April 30?$1.01May 21, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nickolas Bonds be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?$1.02May 21, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.27May 21, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMRaptors vs. Cavaliers$5.01May 21, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 4?$7.01May 21, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 4?$11.01May 21, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.20 in May?$3.73May 4, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 4?$7.00May 4, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 4?$11.00May 4, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Cavaliers$5.00May 4, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$1.00May 4, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 31m?$1.00May 4, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00May 4, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?$1.00May 4, 01:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $2.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 03:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 06:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.