Heartfelt-Retirement
0xe3f13ac97b8c049b847a2c878c261e22d558c3b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$4.85
Total PnL
$-9.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.51
$0.01
- NO
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.18
$0.01
- YES
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
1 shares @ 91.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.17
$0.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7AM ET
1850 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$1.07Jun 2, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.17Jun 2, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.50Jun 2, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 4?$1.40Jun 2, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?$2.23Jun 2, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.23Jun 2, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 4?$1.40May 6, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?$2.16May 6, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.53May 6, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on April 8?$1.15May 6, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?$2.41May 6, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.06May 6, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on April 8?$1.15Apr 7, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?$2.40Apr 7, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.30Apr 7, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.03Apr 7, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.42Apr 7, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.30Mar 20, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7AM ET$0.32Mar 19, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7AM ET$0.08Mar 19, 11:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $509.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 05:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 11:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.