Hasty-Ficlet
0xe3fef40e69edb58016615f4b08d8edd1a13508d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-370.83
Realised
$-22.55
Win rate
18%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Ximena Rincón win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
1154 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
621 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-7.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
502 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
351 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
344 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-17.31
- YES
Will Carolina Tohá win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
294 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Evelyn Matthei win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.91Jun 5, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.64Jun 5, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$0.71Jun 3, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.03Jun 3, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.04Jun 3, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.69Jun 3, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.03Jun 3, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.07Jun 3, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$0.84Jun 3, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.04Jun 3, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$0.00Jun 3, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.90Jun 3, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.03Jun 3, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Jun 3, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.94Jun 3, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.04Jun 3, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$2.17Jun 3, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.78Jun 3, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$2.33Jun 3, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.04Jun 3, 02:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 06:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".