Visible-Police
0xe3ffac4dd96b0c93b5062e2a968f9af6008b60ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $115m?
7648 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-199.43
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
4054 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1061 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?
313 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
278 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
126 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will egg prices be less than $5.00 in March?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?
60 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?
50 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$295.28Jan 13, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$20.00Jan 13, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?$10.00Nov 10, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?$10.00Nov 10, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?$20.00Nov 10, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$30.00Nov 10, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$50.00Nov 10, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $115m?$99.91Jul 24, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $115m?$99.53Jul 24, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.5KJul 23, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFederal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?$5.40Apr 15, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Snow White' gross between 44-49m on opening weekend?$0.00Mar 27, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Snow White' gross between 34-39m on opening weekend?$0.00Mar 27, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Snow White' gross less than 34m on opening weekend?$0.00Mar 27, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Snow White' gross between 39-44m on opening weekend?$24.39Mar 27, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill egg prices be less than $5.00 in March?$10.00Mar 21, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Snow White' gross less than 34m on opening weekend?$5.00Mar 21, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Snow White' gross between 34-39m on opening weekend?$10.00Mar 21, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDid the FBI destroy Epstein files?$7.50Mar 18, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$9.00Mar 18, 17:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $72.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 23, 23:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 13, 23:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.