Lucky-Stop
0xe40603bacb63da70f02568507fba82b3c865f497
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
93
Open notional
$64.90
Total PnL
$-123.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- NO
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by July 31?
40 shares @ 88.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$39.00
$3.80
- NO
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by July 31?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$18.20
$1.00
- YES
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.90
$1.30
- YES
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?
40 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.80
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C or below on May 12?
428 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 13?
418 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 11?
140 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 13?
106 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 8?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on May 10?
61 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 10?$10.00Jul 10, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 10?$1.06Jul 8, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 10?$1.84Jul 8, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 10?$1.81Jul 8, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 10?$1.95Jul 8, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31?$2.69Jul 4, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by July 31?$17.30Jul 4, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 6?$2.42Jul 4, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 6?$1.79Jul 4, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 6?$6.31Jul 4, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 3?$9.00Jul 3, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 3?$14.00Jul 3, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?$4.56Jul 2, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by July 31?$35.37Jul 2, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 2?$1.76Jul 1, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 3?$3.16Jul 1, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 3?$4.06Jul 1, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 28?$8.00Jun 28, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 28?$3.13Jun 27, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 28?$6.82Jun 27, 09:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 09:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 21:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.