This-Intervenor
0xe4086fbe57bb396bd4422f79e9cd0f856f20232b
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$3.02
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$3.84
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 9?
3 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$3.02
$1.66
- NO
Will Meta say "Dividend" during earnings call?
2500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Meta say "Ray-Ban" during earnings call?
2430 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-12.15
- NO
Will Meta say "Advertising" during earnings call?
1658 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-16.58
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1225 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-461.87
- NEW MEXICO STATE
New Mexico State vs. Liberty
1144 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-263.03
- NO
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
976 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-399.99
- YES
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
560 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Chipotle say "Supply Chain" during earnings call?
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- BILLS
Patriots vs. Bills
432 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-191.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$271.88Mar 8, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$134.08Mar 8, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$20.42Mar 8, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$26.60Mar 8, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$13.65Mar 8, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$7.70Mar 8, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$35.00Mar 8, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$18.90Mar 8, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$1.25Mar 8, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$4.90Mar 8, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$480.00Mar 8, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$190.00Mar 8, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$25.00Mar 8, 01:34 UTC
- REWARD$2.86Mar 8, 00:02 UTC
- REWARD$0.35Mar 8, 00:02 UTC
- REWARD$2.84Mar 7, 00:02 UTC
- REWARD$0.17Mar 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 9?$1.36Mar 6, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLApple (AAPL) Up or Down on March 6?$700.34Mar 6, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on March 6?$488.07Mar 6, 20:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $123.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 05:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".