Tall-Tear
0xe408e67364f85cbc89a21aa03732b0489fc1677f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
1031 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-999.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
358 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-196.94
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?
200 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-54.00
- NO
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
100 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
100 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?
100 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?
100 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-76.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$0.17Mar 5, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$8.93Mar 5, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$200.00Mar 5, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$169.86Mar 5, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$100.00Mar 5, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$1000.00Mar 5, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.0KMar 5, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$999.99Mar 5, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.0KMar 5, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1000.00Mar 5, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$1.0KMar 5, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$1000.00Mar 5, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$98.68Feb 28, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$974.16Feb 28, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$50.00Jan 8, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$280.00Jan 8, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$20.00Jan 8, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$100.00Jan 8, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?$98.00Jan 3, 10:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $218.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 29, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 08:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".