Substantial-Weapon
0xe40dcd376c8d00cd28bb33633d12a126dd08cefa
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$10.74
Total PnL
$-44.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in December?
11 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$10.74
$0.04
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on December 24?
160 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-0.16
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on December 24?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-0.15
- NEW MEXICO STATE
New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech
51 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-12.24
- LAKERS
Celtics vs. Lakers
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- TIGERS
Tigers vs. Athletics
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- DIAMONDBACKS
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers
18 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-6.84
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Raptors
7 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,400 in December?$10.70Dec 24, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on December 24?$0.16Dec 24, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $150 on December 24?$0.15Dec 24, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMOld Dominion vs. Virginia Tech$57.00Dec 24, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech$12.24Sep 13, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYOld Dominion vs. Virginia Tech$18.24Sep 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiamondbacks vs. Brewers$6.84Aug 25, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTigers vs. Athletics$13.00Aug 25, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Knicks$19.99Aug 25, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Raptors$1.69Jul 17, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Knicks$6.59Jul 17, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Lakers$10.00Jul 17, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Knicks$4.00Jul 17, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$4.62Jul 17, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMCubs vs. Tigers$17.68Jul 17, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCubs vs. Tigers$10.96Jun 6, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMGiants vs. Twins$0.00Jun 6, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?$10.75Jun 6, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?$10.00May 9, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGiants vs. Twins$10.00May 9, 13:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 12:41 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 24, 18:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.