0xe4109a22851f6025ee7f2f0b168222d7f0cb0ed5
0xe4109a22851f6025ee7f2f0b168222d7f0cb0ed5
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$115.69
Total PnL
$-29.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
800 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
48 shares @ 42.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.14
$2.14
- YES
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$17.54
$7.54
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
106 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
38 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?$15.00Mar 18, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$10.00Mar 18, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 6?$0.00Mar 18, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?$0.00Mar 18, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$20.41Mar 18, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 6?$20.00Mar 6, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$20.00Mar 4, 15:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $22.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 22:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.