Overjoyed-Comma
0xe4128e6d3b1ece19b4c416586999d6f7c9519f0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$180.97
Total PnL
$1.07
Realised
$1.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
130 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$130.00
$3.64
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$20.00
$0.18
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
15 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$15.00
$0.09
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.97
$0.12
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$6.00
$0.03
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
40 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.16
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
27 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.62
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$9.99Jun 11, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$9.87May 14, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$9.96May 14, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$49.90Apr 25, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$14.91Apr 19, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$19.94Apr 19, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.97Mar 21, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$194.40Mar 20, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$19.82Feb 8, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Feb 8, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Feb 8, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Feb 8, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$9.55Jan 11, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$5.00Jan 11, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$5.00Jan 11, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$10.00Jan 11, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$20.00Jan 11, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$4.94Dec 27, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$5.00Dec 27, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$5.00Dec 27, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $351.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 14:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 14:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.