0xe418a536730c8cc3ecf0546c1afca6f64eb75c1a
0xe418a536730c8cc3ecf0546c1afca6f64eb75c1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-89.20
Realised
$-3.69
Win rate
0%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 5?
666 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 5?
666 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 5?
500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 5?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 5?
333 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 5?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 5?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 5?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 5?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 5?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$5.97Aug 20, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$4.09Aug 20, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Aug 14, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$2.04Aug 14, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$2.13Aug 13, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$2.09Aug 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.09Aug 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.03Aug 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$2.10Aug 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$2.04Aug 13, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$2.53Aug 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$2.12Aug 13, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$2.03Aug 13, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$2.03Aug 13, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$9.52Aug 13, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 59 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
59 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.