0xe421582733a4b26df0ac9058d6d8fe29ee7ffdca
0xe421582733a4b26df0ac9058d6d8fe29ee7ffdca
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$13.63
Total PnL
$-37.69
Realised
$-6.99
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$4.99
$1.40
- YES
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.98
$2.34
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
4 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.66
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 17?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 17?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 16?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 18?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 17?
129 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 16?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 20?
80 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 23, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 23, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 23, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 23, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 23, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 23, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 23, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 23, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 23, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 23, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 23, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 22, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 22, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 22, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 22, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 22, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 22, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 22, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 21, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 21, 17:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 19:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 16:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".