Reasonable-Antechamber
0xe430bb55cd940c32f6ef61628cb3153dd33b5815
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-200.35
Realised
$0.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
2537 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-74.56
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?
1350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.09
- YES
Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?
767 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- YES
Will Nikola Jokić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
752 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-22.58
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?
625 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?
378 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- YES
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?
108 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-56.29
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
50 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
38 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- NIP
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?$2.99Feb 16, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$1.88Feb 15, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luka Dončić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$0.10Feb 15, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Deni Avdija win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$1.48Feb 15, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deni Avdija win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$1.80Feb 15, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deni Avdija win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$1.50Feb 15, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deni Avdija win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$4.50Feb 15, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deni Avdija win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$2.70Feb 15, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?$10.80Feb 15, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?$16.69Feb 15, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$10.00Feb 15, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luka Dončić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$2.00Feb 15, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?$50.00Feb 15, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$15.49Feb 15, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$63.20Feb 15, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deni Avdija win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$11.13Feb 15, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$12.58Feb 15, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$23.71Feb 15, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$17.12Feb 15, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$24.88Feb 15, 20:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $33.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 16:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 20:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".