Outstanding-Beast
0xe4347408b73e1a18b6507dd6fc045227f733afd1
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-614.92
Realised
$-54.67
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
3388 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-59.15
- NO
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
570 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
311 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-162.89
- NO
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?
304 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-59.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?
294 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US military action against Iran before July?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on June 7 at 5 PM ET?
209 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$4.97Mar 1, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$54.18Feb 28, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$68.07Feb 28, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$68.07Feb 28, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$74.62Feb 28, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$74.62Feb 19, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$89.54Feb 19, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$88.50Feb 16, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$82.60Feb 15, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$0.00Feb 14, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$5.00Feb 14, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$5.00Feb 14, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$93.54Feb 14, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?$1.00Feb 9, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$27.00Feb 9, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$28.10Feb 9, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$187.41Feb 1, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 31, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$220.00Jan 31, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?$9.66Jan 31, 14:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $88.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 00:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 14:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".