Fast-Silver
0xe4361c092de758ed45d8cc62efebe3f6439542b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$94.50
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$-3.5K
Win rate
0%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
100 shares @ 80.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.50
$14.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
2203 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12AM ET
879 shares @ 68.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-602.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
724 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-36.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9AM ET
703 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-244.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11AM ET
634 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-165.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
568 shares @ 36.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-205.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5PM ET
563 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-209.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
489 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-130.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8AM ET
450 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-87.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$80.00Mar 1, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2AM ET$10.00Feb 20, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7AM ET$14.99Feb 20, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5AM ET$40.00Feb 20, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 6AM ET$55.00Feb 20, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3AM ET$60.00Feb 20, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10AM ET$65.00Feb 20, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9AM ET$121.78Feb 20, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8AM ET$134.98Feb 20, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10AM ET$4.90Jan 18, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10AM ET$4.90Jan 18, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10AM ET$4.90Jan 18, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10AM ET$0.94Jan 18, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10AM ET$1.00Jan 18, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10AM ET$2.80Jan 18, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10AM ET$2.05Jan 18, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10AM ET$1.00Jan 18, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10AM ET$1.00Jan 18, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10AM ET$1.00Jan 18, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10AM ET$1.00Jan 18, 15:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
35 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 03:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.