Warped-Cyclooxygenase
0xe4444ead71faea6a25facef3f61657493a4bdba6
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-224.88
Realised
$-64.83
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 31?
248 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 7?
131 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.02
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 26?
105 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
81 shares @ 96.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-78.03
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 8?
65 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 14?
49 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.74
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.30 on March 13?
48 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.29
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 14?
45 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.04
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on March 13?
44 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.79
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 9-15?
43 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-12.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 17?$78.60Jul 17, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 17?$0.31Jul 16, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 17?$76.01Jul 16, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 8?$2.44Jul 8, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 7?$3.23Jul 6, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2?$77.21Jun 2, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2?$0.53Jun 1, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2?$75.52Jun 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 31?$1.86May 30, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 26?$4.58May 26, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 24?$87.42May 24, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 24?$84.71May 23, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 17?$80.00May 17, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 17?$78.00May 16, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethena dip to $0.08 in March?$23.68May 9, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,300 March 9-15?$0.00May 1, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 13?$61.42Apr 25, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $52.50 Week of April 6 2026?$0.00Apr 16, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 14?$1.22Apr 14, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 13?$0.07Apr 12, 19:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $23.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 09:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 16:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.