Harmful-Wellbeing
0xe447be047de9a38b2220a5159eb164286ab96f85
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-497.31
Realised
$-230.43
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 5?
134 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-35.24
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.40 on March 20?
131 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-35.35
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 19?
124 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-33.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 16?
123 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-32.39
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?
108 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on January 30?
105 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 26?
101 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-28.18
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 28?
101 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 30?
98 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 11?
97 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 8?$137.77Jul 8, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 8?$74.07Jul 8, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 8?$61.50Jul 8, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 2?$125.51Jun 2, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 2?$0.51Jun 2, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 2?$124.00Jun 1, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 31?$3.12May 30, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?$3.01May 28, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 24?$123.88May 24, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 24?$115.58May 23, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 6?$24.89May 16, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?$103.84May 8, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?$102.59May 7, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of April 13 2026?$29.09May 7, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 15?$87.30Apr 30, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 29?$0.00Apr 20, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of April 13 2026?$27.05Apr 17, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 15?$0.33Apr 14, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 15?$84.96Apr 14, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 12?$3.04Apr 12, 15:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $44.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 04:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.