Serene-Year
0xe44bc552c17b3f62d4764f5a0aa87e4f509356c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$29.53
Total PnL
$-103.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.78
$10.78
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$7.75
$-12.25
- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.00
$1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
763 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Iran Nuke in 2025?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
65 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025?
52 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?$0.00Jan 20, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "TikTok" this week? (October 27 - November 2)$0.00Jan 20, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in November?$0.00Jan 20, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Downbeat" during September press conference?$0.00Jan 20, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Candy from a baby" in November?$5.99Nov 12, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?$10.00Nov 12, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crooked Joe" in November?$12.20Nov 12, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$20.00Nov 12, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$30.00Nov 12, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on October 31?$1.00Oct 31, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on October 31?$1.00Oct 31, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$5.00Oct 31, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in November?$5.00Oct 31, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crooked Joe" in November?$5.00Oct 31, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "TikTok" this week? (October 27 - November 2)$5.00Oct 31, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next video?$7.94Oct 31, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?$18.52Oct 31, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next video?$5.00Sep 9, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?$5.00Sep 9, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hitler" during September?$5.00Sep 9, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $6.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 19:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.