Stark-Problem
0xe45090c690c98490f082e0a22ea761ec3b76419a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$4.25
Total PnL
$-211.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
36 shares @ 11.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.89
$-2.11
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.64
$-3.36
- YES
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
160 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.72
$-3.28
- YES
Will Solana reach $160 in January?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
8208 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 5PM ET
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on January 29?
3045 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 120 billion views by January 31?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.00Feb 2, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$4.00Feb 2, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.00Feb 2, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?$13.24Feb 2, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$4.00Feb 1, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?$11.00Jan 31, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$10.00Jan 31, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 31?$5.00Jan 31, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?$29.80Jan 31, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?$4.00Jan 30, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?$2.00Jan 30, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $460 on January 30?$5.00Jan 30, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $82.5-$85 in January?$5.00Jan 30, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?$2.76Jan 30, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.67Jan 30, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$6.56Jan 30, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft reach $608 in January?$2.77Jan 30, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 5PM ET$4.00Jan 30, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$4.64Jan 29, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $160 in January?$15.00Jan 29, 23:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 10:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".