Probable-Shallows
0xe459f476e51b75accb000f76b8bfd8e00095b097
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$12.38
Total PnL
$-7.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 6?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$4.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 6?
8 shares @ 51.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$4.31
$0.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 6.4¢·exp May 6, 2026$1.42
$0.42
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 5?
587 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on May 5?
202 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.30
$-1.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 5?
103 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.21
$-1.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 6?
205 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 5?
39 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 5?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.008h ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.008h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$3.218h ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$0.008h ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$0.008h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.058h ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$0.008h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.078h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 5?$1.058h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on May 5?$1.058h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 6?$4.109h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 6?$5.199h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?$1.059h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?$1.059h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 6?$1.059h ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$0.009h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.079h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.079h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$1.079h ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$0.009h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11h ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".