Taut-Rain
0xe460c43b72f95a6a756796c842f3d79425544402
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-34.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
2199 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?
2150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 11?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 15?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 27?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$118.83Jun 10, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$68.02Jun 10, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$50.02Jun 10, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$4.20Jun 10, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?$122.12Jun 8, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?$122.00Jun 7, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?$122.12Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?$122.01Jun 2, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$4.60Jun 2, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$124.12Jun 1, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.23May 31, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.22May 31, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$124.01May 30, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$124.12May 30, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$124.01May 27, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?$124.12May 24, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?$124.01May 23, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$124.02May 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$123.91May 16, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$123.12May 14, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $71.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 01:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 18:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.