Likely-Sale
0xe461a0128f82b0bc3890970a0a09ef65a7f90bd9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
89
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?
20039 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
6820 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-466.88
- NUGGETS
Hornets vs. Nuggets
1548 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-317.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
1453 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-42.99
- LAKERS
Rockets vs. Lakers
1270 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- KNICKS
Hawks vs. Knicks
546 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-22.73
- TIMBERWOLVES
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves
323 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-210.00
- YES
Will Racing Club win on 2025-12-13?
310 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-99.21
- RAPTORS
Celtics vs. Raptors
261 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-84.00
- NUGGETS
Rockets vs. Nuggets
243 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-51.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Nuggets$200.00Jan 19, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.00Jan 19, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Nuggets$117.27Jan 19, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$117.27Jan 19, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$105.23Jan 19, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$1.98Jan 19, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$103.25Jan 19, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$1.94Jan 19, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLSenators vs. Red Wings$1.94Jan 19, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$101.00Jan 19, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenators vs. Red Wings$1.00Jan 19, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$1.00Jan 19, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$5.62Jan 18, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Jan 18, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-18?$1.78Jan 18, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Jan 18, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Jan 18, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-18?$1.00Jan 18, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-18?$1.00Jan 18, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWizards vs. Nuggets$0.00Jan 18, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $33.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 00:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 01:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".