0xe468b8b1abd71e53f874f0c2658b17bf4d5d70c8
0xe468b8b1abd71e53f874f0c2658b17bf4d5d70c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$40.18
Total PnL
$-25.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8AM ET
6 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$6.42
$3.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9AM ET
6 shares @ 39.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$6.26
$3.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3AM ET
6 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$6.18
$3.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11AM ET
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$5.00
$3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12PM ET
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$5.00
$3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9AM ET
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$5.00
$3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10AM ET
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$5.00
$3.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1PM ET
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.32
$0.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1PM ET
45 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5AM ET
11 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.73Mar 13, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$0.77Mar 13, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$5.81Mar 13, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$0.10Mar 13, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$2.40Mar 13, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$2.50Mar 13, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$5.00Mar 13, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$2.50Mar 13, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$0.00Mar 13, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$2.50Mar 13, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.76Mar 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$1.75Mar 13, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.00Mar 13, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$0.00Mar 13, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$2.50Mar 13, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.71Mar 13, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$0.78Mar 13, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$5.31Mar 13, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$5.68Mar 13, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$2.50Mar 13, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 10:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 11:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.