Pink-Presume
0xe46cffcd2181d50ba2737d61019abd0e372ce93a
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.0K
Realised
$-3.5K
Win rate
7%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
1287 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-177.00
- GERMANY
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
1154 shares @ 69.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-800.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
941 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-68.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
870 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
735 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
546 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-470.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
543 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
540 shares @ 78.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-425.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
531 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.33Jul 31, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$14.00Jul 30, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$33.11Jul 30, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Jul 30, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$32.81Jul 30, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$31.59Jul 30, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$32.03Jul 30, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$27.81Jul 30, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$27.59Jul 30, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$60.92Jul 30, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$0.00Jul 30, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$61.33Jul 30, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$46.80Jul 30, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$46.73Jul 30, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$103.50Jul 30, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$102.89Jul 30, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$143.66Jul 30, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$144.07Jul 30, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$108.08Jul 30, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$16.50Jul 28, 21:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $43.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 22:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.