Insubstantial-Construction
0xe46e7864033714e40905613d07ff68ec00a212aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-35.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- UP
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on December 5?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
750 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
130 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
100 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
80 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.12
- UP
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on December 5?
50 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
50 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.21
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 26?
41 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
40 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
25 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?$0.35Jan 10, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win?$2.10Dec 15, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulane vs. Ole Miss$1.04Dec 15, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlackhawks vs. Maple Leafs$1.70Dec 15, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?$0.00Dec 12, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill NFT #1946 win the Based trading competition?$0.00Dec 12, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.04Dec 9, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.12Dec 9, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.04Dec 9, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.10Dec 9, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$2.07Dec 7, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$0.07Dec 7, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$0.14Dec 7, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?$5.25Dec 7, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$4.60Dec 7, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $1.92Dec 7, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the match end in a draw?$1.54Dec 7, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$2.17Dec 6, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$1.70Dec 6, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-06?$1.08Dec 6, 10:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 19:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 17:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".