Demanding-Hanger
0xe474dc132c04bafa5e48e63867d9773fe0a69b56
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$1.46
Total PnL
$-10.70
Realised
$5.26
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 89.5¢·now 90.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.90
$0.01
- YES
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
88 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.31
$0.13
- YES
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.25
$0.05
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?
88 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.17
- YES
Will Pushpa Kamal Dahal (“Prachanda”) be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 23?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 23?
50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Denise Paul Hatch be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?$0.10Apr 27, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Casey Armitage be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?$0.01Apr 15, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Casey Armitage be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?$0.44Apr 15, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Casey Armitage be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?$0.28Apr 15, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clayton Fuller win the GA-14 special election?$0.04Apr 7, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aiden Gonzalez be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?$0.00Apr 2, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aiden Gonzalez be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?$0.01Apr 1, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Silver in March 2026?$0.08Mar 31, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Silver in March 2026?$0.02Mar 31, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?$0.02Mar 31, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?$0.11Mar 31, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?$0.03Mar 31, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?$0.04Mar 31, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?$0.18Mar 31, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?$0.01Mar 31, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?$0.01Mar 31, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juliana Stratton win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by 9% or more?$0.40Mar 30, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aiden Gonzalez be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?$0.01Mar 30, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aiden Gonzalez be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?$0.07Mar 30, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aiden Gonzalez be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?$0.01Mar 29, 23:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 22:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 03:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.