Ugly-Guarantee
0xe4773f889a7df7f070c6c224dc3c07075ce08970
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$23.20
Total PnL
$7.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2024$19.23
$9.23
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 25.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$3.97
$2.97
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $1 before December?
47 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
13 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$10.00Dec 7, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$3.00Nov 29, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $1 before December?$2.00Nov 23, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum above $2,500 on November 8?$20.16Nov 7, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,500 on November 8?$10.00Nov 4, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 4, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum above $2,600 on November 1?$3.28Nov 1, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,600 on November 1?$20.00Oct 29, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,600 on October 25?$0.00Oct 28, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,600 on October 25?$20.00Oct 20, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,400 on October 18?$0.00Oct 20, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,400 on October 18?$10.00Oct 13, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,400 on October 11?$1.56Oct 12, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?$1.89Oct 12, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,400 on October 11?$1.00Oct 7, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?$1.00Oct 6, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $160 in October? $2.50Oct 5, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $160 in October? $2.00Oct 3, 09:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $7.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 3, 09:09 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 7, 05:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.