Enchanting-Loyalty
0xe47b9fa7175eed682751d77eae41b22910f3a899
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$443.24
Total PnL
$-57.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
57 shares @ 87.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$57.11
$7.12
- NO
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
56 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.84
$0.83
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.00
$0.35
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
57 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.43
$-0.86
- YES
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
52 shares @ 48.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$34.02
$9.28
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?
85 shares @ 58.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$33.33
$-16.24
- NO
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 47.0¢·now 53.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.61
$3.64
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
94 shares @ 26.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.94
$1.42
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
63 shares @ 40.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$24.37
$-0.95
- NO
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
42 shares @ 59.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$24.36
$-0.64
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$64.94Jun 30, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$18.65Jun 30, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$6.67Jun 30, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.68Jun 30, 00:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?$35.07Jun 29, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?$14.50Jun 29, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.97Jun 29, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.75Jun 29, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26.35Jun 28, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$50.28Jun 28, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$25.92Jun 28, 13:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$25.00Jun 28, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$24.98Jun 27, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$4.12Jun 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.05Jun 27, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$26.06Jun 27, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $18.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 18:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.