Modest-Incandescence
0xe47c77125edfc41d1a80261736b9abbcfd57642a
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$92.34
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
6526 shares @ 35.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$848.44
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
4771 shares @ 53.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$796.69
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?
7810 shares @ 19.5¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$624.83
$-899.41
- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?
7143 shares @ 11.3¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$339.31
$-467.35
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
123 shares @ 89.4¢·now 88.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$109.03
$-0.96
- NO
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$92.95
$42.95
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
77 shares @ 52.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.08
$27.02
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.75
$20.75
- NO
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
40 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.06
$0.06
- NO
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
40 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.27Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?$5.17Jun 12, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$61.35Jun 12, 09:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$1.03Jun 11, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$60.26Jun 11, 08:27 UTC
- MERGEZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$50.00Jun 11, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?$4.80Jun 11, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?$4.91Jun 11, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?$2.72Jun 11, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?$0.08Jun 11, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10?$4.28Jun 11, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$41.33Jun 11, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$41.33Jun 11, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.34Jun 11, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.17Jun 11, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?$5.17Jun 10, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$50.17Jun 10, 17:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $13.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.