Menacing-Sundae
0xe47d2b104152fa903c99cc8e3d19a9d4bb4514df
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-540.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
40000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?
14353 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-201.98
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
4706 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
2612 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-18.69
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
2422 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1813 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
968 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
802 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$10.00Feb 3, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$30.00Feb 3, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$30.00Feb 3, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$20.00Feb 3, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$19.00Feb 2, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$10.00Feb 2, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$10.00Feb 2, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$10.00Feb 2, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$10.55Jan 25, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$5.00Jan 25, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$15.00Jan 25, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$18.69Jan 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?$50.00Jan 23, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?$152.00Jan 22, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$10.00Jan 22, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$80.00Jan 22, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 22, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$40.00Jan 22, 22:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $30.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 22:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 15:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.