Spirited-Politics
0xe4800fbba7e217d97d11867c01a839e80fc7ae5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$3.4K
Realised
$-13.23
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
4500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.5K
$4.2K
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?
794 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
744 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 October 20-26?
568 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
405 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 20-26?
308 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Bulls
259 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
246 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Bill Ackman say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the X Space event on November 18?
200 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Bill Ackman say "Election" during the X Space event on November 18?
151 shares @ 66.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMHeat vs. Knicks$100.00Jan 3, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$136.99Jan 3, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$500.00Jan 3, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$325.00Dec 9, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$345.00Dec 5, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$150.00Dec 5, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Heat$40.00Nov 16, 23:01 UTC
- REWARD$1.10Nov 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$230.00Nov 15, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Ackman say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the X Space event on November 18?$93.00Nov 15, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Ackman say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the X Space event on November 18?$27.00Nov 15, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Ackman say "Election" during the X Space event on November 18?$100.00Nov 14, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Knicks$69.00Nov 14, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.98Nov 6, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.30Nov 6, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.30Nov 6, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.00Nov 6, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.46Nov 6, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.43Nov 6, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6.38Nov 6, 06:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $31.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 05:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.